56779
0x381cd297da8226dedf61af058967dba34ff74e3b
- Realised P&L
- $-200.46
- Volume
- $923.6k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $48.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.80at 0.001Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
- +$61.94at 0.392Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$30.00at 0.250Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$24.78at 0.488Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
- +$24.46at 0.530Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 17:21 | Sao Paulo Open: Xiaodi You vs Alina Charaeva | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 17:14 | Cambria FDV above $40M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 17:12 | Ethos FDV above $35M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1098166974 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 17:04 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 17:04 | Szczecin: Tiago Pereira vs Filip Pieczonka | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 12-20 06:51 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $23.33 |
| 11-21 22:12 | Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 11-21 22:10 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | SELL | 0.2922715584 | $34.10 |
| 10-19 21:08 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.1499999966 | $35.00 |
| 10-19 21:08 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 10-12 16:00 | Will PVV win 33 or more seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.4899999941 | $40.00 |
| 10-12 15:53 | Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 13:42 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | BUY | 0.8218985031 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 15:20 | Will Napoli win on 2025-09-28? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 15:20 | Will Napoli win on 2025-09-28? | BUY | 0.259999948 | $3.00 |