PolyBot

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Traders

0x38195330fd2f27b576e0e4d32fa9c6a4e20dfa2a

0x38195330fd2f27b576e0e4d32fa9c6a4e20dfa2a

Realised P&L
$-195.46
Volume
$10.0k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$98.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5230.531$52.91+$0.85
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.4051.000$32.26+$19.20
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31? · Yes0.5870.075$12.97$88.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 17:42Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?SELL0.967$1.15
08-13 17:28Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?SELL0.966$5.77
08-13 17:25Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?SELL0.96$8.34
08-13 17:16Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?SELL0.95$0.28
08-13 17:16Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?SELL0.95$2.83
08-13 17:16Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.4048058266$13.06
08-13 17:16Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?BUY0.98$18.75
08-13 17:16Will the next Google Gemini Flash model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?BUY0.97$13.48
08-09 13:31Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.522964816$52.06
08-07 05:32Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.95$34.62
08-07 03:28Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.94$13.52
08-07 02:49Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.84$79.95
08-07 02:49Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.9034167215$13.72
08-07 02:38Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?SELL0.94$15.64
08-07 01:13Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?SELL0.92$2.50