mariana85
0x381873438ac3a4835419e2570c57d10c98deafa9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $19.5k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $190.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.388 | 0.085 | $190.17 | −$677.82 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? · Yes | 0.166 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 16:52 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BUY | 0.1777606794 | $1000.00 |
| 05-07 16:44 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.3879605253 | $868.00 |
| 05-07 16:43 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | BUY | 0.1610165112 | $1.9k |