PolyBot

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Traders

dazhanhong

0x3811e425b08c1bd5df2c348b19ac1eebd8cf8791

Realised P&L
$-11.34
Volume
$7.9k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$14.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150? · Yes0.9990.996$14.86$0.04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 18? · No0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9? · No0.0030.000$0.00$2.00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 14? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$5.39
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 30? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14? · No0.0020.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 09:13Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150?BUY0.9989999943$14.90
09-10 09:11Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.8599999602$1.73
08-28 09:14Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.999$16.00
07-23 09:41Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9969999999$16.60
05-30 02:19Netanyahu out by May 31?BUY0.999$115.00
05-28 10:53Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?BUY0.994$15.00
05-28 10:45Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 30?BUY0.002$2.20
05-28 10:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 29?BUY0.998$100.00
05-13 10:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?BUY0.999$74.00
05-13 10:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?BUY0.002$3.00
05-13 10:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?BUY0.997$43.00
05-08 12:55Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 9?BUY0.999$88.00
05-08 12:47Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?BUY0.0029999985$2.00
05-08 12:46Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?BUY0.999$32.00
05-01 06:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?BUY0.9989999928$122.00