0x3811e09bb2fa30aff16d9be28c09ee9bba478f61
0x3811e09bb2fa30aff16d9be28c09ee9bba478f61
- Realised P&L
- $-13.9k
- Volume
- $551.2k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $7.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.619 | 0.443 | $7.9k | −$3.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.6kat 0.180US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$-500.00at 0.021Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$-1.0kat 0.428Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?
- +$-2.0kat 0.036Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$-2.0kat 0.140Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 22:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.0020456208 | $50.61 |
| 10-27 11:59 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.633019238 | $5.0k |
| 10-27 10:21 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6173866134 | $3.0k |
| 10-27 10:06 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5994220532 | $3.0k |
| 10-13 21:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1693656377 | $4.2k |
| 08-01 20:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.304498402 | $5.0k |
| 08-01 19:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.3163499427 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 18:58 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.3549828072 | $2.0k |
| 08-01 18:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.329988787 | $2.0k |
| 08-01 18:48 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.3083491357 | $2.0k |
| 08-01 18:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.3707394902 | $2.0k |
| 08-01 18:25 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.3895093101 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 18:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.3610409388 | $1.0k |
| 08-01 18:10 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.3328076202 | $500.00 |
| 08-01 18:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.2890078743 | $1000.00 |