jur
0x3806948eed4ba0549488f026785fc08681482ec9
- Realised P&L
- $10.82
- Volume
- $57.7k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $32.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.967 | 0.988 | $32.59 | +$0.68 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.08 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.48at 0.955Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27?
- +$1.05at 0.965Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?
- +$0.71at 0.979Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6?
- +$0.60at 0.981Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in August?
- +$0.56at 0.981Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on August 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 09:08 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.99 | $31.68 |
| 10-03 09:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $30.97 |
| 09-30 16:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $30.00 |
| 09-30 14:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.9909999695 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 03:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.996 | $37.00 |
| 09-27 15:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.99 | $37.00 |
| 09-27 12:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 21-27? | SELL | 0.998 | $36.93 |
| 09-25 01:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.989 | $36.59 |
| 09-18 15:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.994 | $15.90 |
| 09-17 15:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.65 |
| 09-13 04:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.65 |
| 09-09 14:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $33.66 |
| 09-08 15:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $33.86 |
| 09-08 03:08 | Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $33.86 |
| 09-07 13:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.986 | $33.52 |