PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3804fB6b5781D6829f2ac3967647E98021b66136-1758630912727

0x3804fb6b5781d6829f2ac3967647e98021b66136

Realised P&L
$-3.1k
Volume
$1.26M
Markets traded
3,034
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,034
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Armenia win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.3020.355$149.10+$22.23
Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? · No0.1920.185$127.10−$4.70
Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? · No0.5290.505$126.75−$6.14
Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? · No0.4800.485$109.83+$1.03
Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.3400.345$101.43+$1.47
Will France win on 2026-09-28? · No0.4800.485$100.93+$1.04
Will Italy win on 2026-09-28? · No0.6230.615$100.21−$1.36
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · No0.3790.365$100.01−$3.70
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-09-26? · No0.4800.495$91.07+$2.70
Will Austria win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4400.450$87.26+$1.94
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · No0.5330.555$80.14+$3.16
Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29? · No0.4000.405$79.78+$0.98
Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? · No0.6400.725$74.67+$8.76
Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.2400.245$69.33+$1.41
Belgium vs. France: O/U 2.5 · Under0.3800.385$66.99+$0.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 18:58Will Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?SELL0.86$18.92
08-21 18:58Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?SELL0.81$19.44
08-21 07:39Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesSELL0.56$1.12
08-21 07:39Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesSELL0.42$47.46
08-12 23:10New York Mets vs. Atlanta BravesSELL0.37$9.99
08-11 01:35Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego PadresBUY0.53$20.14
08-09 20:05Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle MarinersSELL0.5$43.00
08-08 23:05Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City RoyalsBUY0.59$15.34
08-08 19:00Atlanta Braves vs. New York YankeesSELL0.58$4.06
08-08 19:00Atlanta Braves vs. New York YankeesSELL0.58$15.66
08-05 01:35Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle MarinersBUY0.47$11.28
08-02 01:33Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsSELL0.42$18.06
07-29 16:05Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsSELL0.39$13.65
07-09 23:40Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsSELL0.48$29.28
07-09 17:05New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay RaysSELL0.57$6.27