0x3804fB6b5781D6829f2ac3967647E98021b66136-1758630912727
0x3804fb6b5781d6829f2ac3967647e98021b66136
- Realised P&L
- $-3.1k
- Volume
- $1.26M
- Markets traded
- 3,034
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,034
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Armenia win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.302 | 0.355 | $149.10 | +$22.23 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? · No | 0.192 | 0.185 | $127.10 | −$4.70 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? · No | 0.529 | 0.505 | $126.75 | −$6.14 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? · No | 0.480 | 0.485 | $109.83 | +$1.03 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.345 | $101.43 | +$1.47 |
| Will France win on 2026-09-28? · No | 0.480 | 0.485 | $100.93 | +$1.04 |
| Will Italy win on 2026-09-28? · No | 0.623 | 0.615 | $100.21 | −$1.36 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.379 | 0.365 | $100.01 | −$3.70 |
| Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-09-26? · No | 0.480 | 0.495 | $91.07 | +$2.70 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.450 | $87.26 | +$1.94 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.533 | 0.555 | $80.14 | +$3.16 |
| Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29? · No | 0.400 | 0.405 | $79.78 | +$0.98 |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? · No | 0.640 | 0.725 | $74.67 | +$8.76 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.245 | $69.33 | +$1.41 |
| Belgium vs. France: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.380 | 0.385 | $66.99 | +$0.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$566.10at 0.150Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19?
- +$535.94at 0.260Bulls vs. Cavaliers
- +$492.31at 0.180Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?
- +$426.16at 0.120Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?
- +$411.78at 0.456Spurs vs. Heat
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 18:58 | Will Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.86 | $18.92 |
| 08-21 18:58 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21? | SELL | 0.81 | $19.44 |
| 08-21 07:39 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.56 | $1.12 |
| 08-21 07:39 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.42 | $47.46 |
| 08-12 23:10 | New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.37 | $9.99 |
| 08-11 01:35 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.53 | $20.14 |
| 08-09 20:05 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners | SELL | 0.5 | $43.00 |
| 08-08 23:05 | Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.59 | $15.34 |
| 08-08 19:00 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.58 | $4.06 |
| 08-08 19:00 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.58 | $15.66 |
| 08-05 01:35 | Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.47 | $11.28 |
| 08-02 01:33 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels | SELL | 0.42 | $18.06 |
| 07-29 16:05 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins | SELL | 0.39 | $13.65 |
| 07-09 23:40 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | SELL | 0.48 | $29.28 |
| 07-09 17:05 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | SELL | 0.57 | $6.27 |