PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

fgydusggb

0x3803e06c6b374433c39f254f3914a72556b46d3b

Realised P&L
$2.3k
Volume
$59.4k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · No0.8770.895$2.4k+$49.85
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.8860.880$2.2k$14.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$64.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$10.30
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? · No0.0030.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:34US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.8767903314$2.4k
08-02 21:38Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.8859093538$2.2k
08-01 21:25Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?SELL0.995388835$2.1k
08-01 10:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.82$697.00
07-31 23:38Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.8379549515$1.7k
07-31 23:36Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.993005698$1.7k
07-28 14:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.92$920.00
07-28 14:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?SELL0.992$920.81
07-27 20:31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.94$1.4k
07-27 20:20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?SELL0.994$832.91
07-27 20:18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?SELL0.996$554.68
07-26 16:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.87$239.25
07-26 16:41Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?SELL0.99$237.60
07-26 09:18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 28?BUY0.94$535.80
07-26 09:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?BUY0.973$262.71