PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fgydusggb

0x3803e06c6b374433c39f254f3914a72556b46d3b

Realised P&L
$10.0k
Volume
$301.7k
Markets traded
59
Open portfolio
$13.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded59
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? · Yes0.9290.963$8.0k+$280.67
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? · No0.9450.959$5.0k+$70.02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.0800.075$217.27−$14.48
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$64.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$10.30
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026? · No0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.2650.000$0.00−$659.10
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$5.04
US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00−$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 22:22Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.9292121185$3.9k
10-31 16:18Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.915$51.57
10-31 15:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.9824878081$3.9k
10-30 21:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 29?SELL0.997$49.85
10-29 10:14US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?BUY0.9449680547$4.9k
10-27 22:22Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.94$65.56
10-26 22:57Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.93$3.2k
10-26 22:14Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.928$514.15
10-26 15:51Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.93$14.70
10-25 21:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.93$892.80
10-23 21:53Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.002$5.00
10-23 21:42Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.004$5.04
10-23 20:48US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.93$364.01
10-20 21:51Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.265$36.05
10-18 17:57US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.94$2.4k