0x3801bcfa49d07b56aa8f152babb36c14b16d7013
0x3801bcfa49d07b56aa8f152babb36c14b16d7013
- Realised P&L
- $-14.8k
- Volume
- $1.29M
- Markets traded
- 1,382
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,382
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AD Cali win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.909 | 1.000 | $1.2k | +$112.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$304.11at 0.743Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-10-18?
- +$300.38at 0.738Juventus FC leading at halftime?
- +$262.41at 0.857Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-18?
- +$249.58at 0.752Will Granada CF win on 2026-10-23?
- +$229.68at 0.861Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:56 | Will AD Cali win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.909598868 | $1.1k |
| 11-01 21:55 | Will AD Cali win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.89 | $2.3k |
| 11-01 21:49 | Will AD Cali win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.8960369881 | $2.3k |
| 11-01 21:42 | Will AD Cali win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.87 | $575.94 |
| 11-01 21:39 | Will AD Cali win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.89 | $589.18 |
| 11-01 21:36 | Will AD Cali win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.7870729799 | $633.82 |
| 11-01 21:34 | Will AD Cali win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.7218146241 | $581.27 |
| 11-01 21:21 | Will AD Cali win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.74 | $574.71 |
| 11-01 21:20 | Will AD Cali win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.7599999998 | $590.25 |
| 11-01 21:18 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.86 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 21:12 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.8599999999 | $1.2k |
| 11-01 21:11 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.85 | $596.21 |
| 11-01 21:09 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.9414607552 | $1.8k |
| 11-01 21:07 | Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $596.21 |
| 11-01 20:58 | Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.9550437299 | $608.47 |