Mellifluous
0x37fe75f73ee27d1cba60131be82497e92136cb2e
- Realised P&L
- $-52.44
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $30.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $30.98 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.93at 0.930Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Nov 29-Dec 6?
- +$1.68at 0.992Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
- +$1.51at 0.943Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27?
- +$0.70at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 23?
- +$0.70at 0.989Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 08:21 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.97 |
| 08-26 08:58 | Does Ox Alpha belong to Mistral? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.97 |
| 07-19 04:18 | Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $81.84 |
| 06-28 05:40 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $42.91 |
| 06-17 02:48 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $212 Week of June 15 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 05-09 02:51 | Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by June 30? | BUY | 0.997 | $169.49 |
| 04-24 13:55 | Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $34.86 |
| 03-17 02:13 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.989 | $62.80 |
| 02-24 06:45 | Will Amazon reach $300 in February? | BUY | 0.998 | $48.66 |
| 02-23 12:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 23? | BUY | 0.995 | $139.30 |
| 02-12 10:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.53 |
| 01-27 08:59 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.999 | $159.84 |
| 12-21 05:51 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 22 above $540? | BUY | 0.9894450275 | $34.98 |
| 11-23 10:48 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.9979999976 | $34.91 |
| 10-27 14:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 27? | BUY | 0.9429999983 | $25.00 |