0x37Fd107e206D02dea3a405eaffBB20a098C4a3c1-1761851136825
0x37fd107e206d02dea3a405eaffbb20a098c4a3c1
- Realised P&L
- $335.32
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $74.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$279.17at 0.601Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
- +$73.72at 0.580Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$43.15at 0.649Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
- +$42.23at 0.700Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
- +$35.54at 0.607Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 16:34 | Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | BUY | 0.3806742422 | $100.00 |
| 09-06 00:43 | Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List? | BUY | 0.0424529067 | $1.88 |
| 09-06 00:43 | Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List? | BUY | 0.0349775583 | $3.12 |
| 09-06 00:10 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.5199999958 | $50.00 |
| 09-06 00:10 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.48 | $51.06 |
| 09-06 00:09 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.0454545455 | $1.00 |
| 08-21 17:45 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4699999982 | $50.00 |
| 05-11 20:42 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4274597934 | $40.00 |
| 05-11 19:25 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |
| 05-03 18:16 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $100.00 |
| 04-12 20:08 | Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.2249999848 | $10.00 |
| 04-06 21:25 | Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $9.56 |
| 04-06 21:24 | Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? | BUY | 0.0706598417 | $5.00 |
| 04-04 18:15 | Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines | BUY | 0.48 | $14.53 |
| 04-04 18:15 | Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | BUY | 0.4599999926 | $14.51 |