haliharp
0x37fc3d48cfdddc656f845da0c9c3e611ae84a354
- Realised P&L
- $53.78
- Volume
- $15.5k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $81.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.005 | $16.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.030 | $15.25 | −$0.25 |
| Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.030 | $15.25 | −$0.25 |
| Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.019 | $9.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.006 | $9.75 | −$0.75 |
| Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.018 | $9.25 | −$0.25 |
| Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $6.17 | −$2.02 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET · Down | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET · Up | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.89at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
- +$18.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
- +$15.44at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
- +$11.84at 0.340Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
- +$10.91at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 05:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $12.80 |
| 09-13 05:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $25.12 |
| 09-13 05:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 05:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.28 | $7.95 |
| 09-13 05:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-13 05:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 05:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | SELL | 0.56 | $5.07 |
| 09-13 05:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 05:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.659999963 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 05:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 09-13 05:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $3.48 |
| 09-05 08:05 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.1123538 | $5.62 |
| 09-03 09:03 | Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.84 |
| 09-03 09:03 | Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.60 |
| 09-03 08:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $12.40 |