PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0x37fBb86C07a30d8044016a9cF44Ea4F212ef0EaF-1767622466298

0x37fbb86c07a30d8044016a9cf44ea4f212ef0eaf

Realised P&L
$254.76
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$17.67

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.9410.986$10.47+$0.47
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0720.052$7.20$2.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 17:06Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0722585623$10.00
08-03 14:04Will Russia enter Myrne by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9413396604$10.00
07-30 14:58Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?BUY0.9850745416$10.00
07-29 22:08Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?BUY0.91$10.00
07-22 21:05Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9699999981$10.00
07-22 21:04Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by July 31?SELL0.041347373$0.95
07-22 21:03Will Russia capture Toretske by July 31, 2026?SELL0.062489102$6.45
07-22 21:03Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30?SELL0.86$8.69
07-22 21:02Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?SELL0.6107870722$6.43
07-22 21:02Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?SELL0.8885116279$9.55
07-22 21:02Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31?SELL0.5878585462$5.98
07-22 21:01Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by July 31, 2026?SELL0.9409107468$10.33
07-22 21:00Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?BUY0.9499999715$10.00
07-22 21:00Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?BUY0.9299999154$10.00
07-22 20:55Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by September 30?BUY0.99$10.00