PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x37fBb86C07a30d8044016a9cF44Ea4F212ef0EaF-1767622466298

0x37fbb86c07a30d8044016a9cf44ea4f212ef0eaf

Realised P&L
$261.43
Volume
$14.6k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$248.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5750.615$213.82+$13.82
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? · Yes0.0880.030$34.44−$65.56
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · Yes0.9330.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 13:40Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5752376753$200.00
10-30 11:17Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?SELL0.8870704562$192.88
10-30 11:13Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?BUY0.9197700575$200.00
10-30 11:12Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?SELL0.7801142835$409.57
10-29 19:00Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?BUY0.3809405355$200.00
10-06 18:42Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?BUY0.4766743614$43.00
10-06 18:36Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?SELL0.0197986734$22.36
10-06 18:35Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$12.39
10-06 16:42Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31?BUY0.8543414946$200.00
09-24 00:04Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$1.40
09-24 00:03Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$1.40
09-24 00:03Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$4.90
09-23 23:42Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.14$110.60
09-23 23:19Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.15$59.25
09-23 22:57Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?BUY0.0885568918$200.00