PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xfm-8-1

0x37f61476c25d6145e1873c93e43c8f174a3861bd

Realised P&L
$199.78
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$105.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? · Yes0.4900.535$105.45+$8.87

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-22 10:06Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?BUY0.54$97.20
04-12 05:41Discord IPO before 2027?BUY0.648$181.44
04-12 05:40Will Caesars Entertainment, Inc. be acquired before 2027?SELL0.7$196.00
03-21 03:44OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?SELL0.64$172.80
03-05 07:11OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?BUY0.63$170.10
02-19 08:43Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 16 above $280?BUY0.975$185.25
02-19 08:41Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?SELL0.995$189.05
02-16 02:51Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $130 end of February?BUY0.995$189.05
02-16 02:49Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of February?SELL0.985$187.15
02-05 12:59Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?BUY0.51$96.90