Bigmeatballs
0x37f39d612d60821574f2a5692be067254b1f2ce8
- Realised P&L
- $-65.16
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $38.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bruno Fernandes (Man Utd) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season? · No | 0.708 | 0.715 | $19.67 | +$0.20 |
| Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2026-27 season end? · No | 0.730 | 0.540 | $19.05 | −$6.70 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.61at 0.540Wizards vs. Pistons
- +$17.95at 0.609Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
- +$16.45at 0.829Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
- +$14.54at 0.531Magic vs. Kings
- +$9.19at 0.382Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 02:24 | Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2026-27 season end? | BUY | 0.73 | $25.75 |
| 10-16 02:18 | Seahawks vs. Broncos | SELL | 0.16 | $3.33 |
| 10-16 02:16 | Seahawks vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 02:12 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.62 | $25.13 |
| 10-16 01:45 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.3699999958 | $15.00 |
| 10-15 05:01 | Will Bruno Fernandes (Man Utd) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season? | BUY | 0.7076375654 | $19.47 |
| 10-14 03:20 | Shohei Ohtani: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.879999996 | $17.41 |
| 10-13 23:29 | Junior Caminero: Home Runs O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.8599999954 | $15.06 |
| 10-13 20:15 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.7599999868 | $11.52 |
| 07-10 21:10 | Will Marcus Rashford join Aston Villa? | BUY | 0.8699999906 | $10.16 |
| 07-10 21:02 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.211 | $10.55 |
| 04-09 06:15 | Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United? | SELL | 0.92 | $166.45 |
| 02-20 05:48 | Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5 | BUY | 0.8 | $22.40 |
| 02-20 05:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $48.05 |
| 02-20 05:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $46.59 |