formula-19
0x37edc446dbca3f801d5cd02b9f5d3e7123e19f94
- Realised P&L
- $2.8k
- Volume
- $291.9k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $6.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.523 | 0.926 | $5.4k | +$2.4k |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.028 | $381.09 | −$177.12 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.025 | $265.43 | −$1.7k |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.004 | $29.34 | −$275.56 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.001 | $4.79 | −$793.12 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.92 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.53 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$522.09at 0.509Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- +$67.36at 0.442Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
- +$57.08at 0.479Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
- +$54.45at 0.475Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$50.23at 0.394Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 11:45 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.87 | $39.15 |
| 09-06 13:13 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.091 | $9.10 |
| 09-06 13:13 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.092 | $2.76 |
| 09-06 13:13 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.093 | $1.86 |
| 09-06 13:13 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.094 | $0.94 |
| 09-06 13:13 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.095 | $8.07 |
| 09-06 13:13 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.095 | $8.07 |
| 09-06 13:11 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.102 | $5.33 |
| 09-06 13:11 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.102 | $12.24 |
| 08-23 15:00 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.094 | $19.93 |
| 08-23 15:00 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.094 | $19.93 |
| 08-23 15:00 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.094 | $19.93 |
| 08-23 14:59 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.094 | $19.83 |
| 08-23 14:59 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.094 | $19.74 |
| 08-23 14:59 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0952580645 | $2.95 |