formula-19
0x37edc446dbca3f801d5cd02b9f5d3e7123e19f94
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $275.4k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $5.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.518 | 0.747 | $5.0k | +$1.5k |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.055 | $527.83 | −$1.4k |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.018 | $146.70 | −$158.20 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.004 | $43.10 | −$754.81 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.034 | $18.68 | −$18.35 |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$86.92 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.53 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$522.84at 0.509Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- +$33.00at 0.130Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$31.64at 0.140Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 7?
- +$30.61at 0.340Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
- +$23.00at 0.240Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 February 2-8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 16:16 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.701 | $77.11 |
| 07-25 16:16 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.699 | $10.48 |
| 07-25 16:15 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.698 | $41.88 |
| 07-25 16:15 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.698 | $10.47 |
| 07-25 16:15 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.698 | $10.47 |
| 07-25 16:15 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.698 | $21.29 |
| 07-19 15:06 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.09 | $72.41 |
| 07-19 13:07 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.1 | $97.00 |
| 07-19 13:07 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.11 | $44.00 |
| 07-19 13:06 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.12 | $176.35 |
| 07-17 15:24 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.585 | $233.41 |
| 07-17 15:23 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.15 | $189.49 |
| 07-17 15:23 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.16 | $58.64 |
| 07-13 09:18 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.2 | $430.27 |
| 07-10 19:52 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | SELL | 0.3025 | $302.50 |