PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

f5g1546df

0x37e2067290fe2fa4c0106f7ea70f46552beb13e1

Realised P&L
$-411.10
Volume
$47.4k
Markets traded
271
Open portfolio
$422.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded271
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? · No0.7101.000$100.00+$29.00
Will the median home value in San Francisco Metro be less than $1,176,000 on September 30? · Yes0.7201.000$50.00+$14.00
Will Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series? · No0.8791.000$50.00+$6.05
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes0.5400.535$26.75−$0.25
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · No0.5400.535$26.75−$0.25
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.4900.480$24.00−$0.50
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · No0.4700.425$21.25−$2.25
Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · No0.8800.860$17.20−$0.40
Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? · Yes0.7100.855$17.10+$2.90
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.785$15.70−$0.50
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.8800.750$15.00−$2.60
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes0.7700.745$14.90−$0.50
Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? · Yes0.3500.360$7.20+$0.20
Will Dr. Fernando Máximo win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election? · No0.5400.320$6.40−$4.40
Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years? · Yes0.5200.320$6.40−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 08:44Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.46$9.20
09-06 15:09Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?SELL0.68$13.60
09-02 22:00Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election?SELL0.8$16.00
09-02 16:14US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?SELL0.11$2.20
08-20 07:19Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?SELL0.2125$4.25
08-20 07:19Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?SELL0.89$17.80
08-20 06:38Will Tuesday be the most viewed day of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16?SELL0.09$1.26
08-19 03:28Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?SELL0.014$0.28
08-19 03:28Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.38634$7.73
08-18 04:09Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?SELL0.28$5.60
08-18 04:09Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?SELL0.46975$9.39
08-18 04:09Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?SELL0.77$15.40
08-17 20:26Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 19?SELL0.38$1.54
08-17 18:07Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 19?SELL0.29$5.80
08-17 06:30Will Anyone's Legend Win the Shortest Game in LPL 2026 Split 3?SELL0.09$1.80