horse2026
0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $12.02M
- Markets traded
- 3,741
- Open portfolio
- $0.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,741
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.080Pacers vs. Cavaliers
- +$2.2kat 0.060Timberwolves vs. Lakers
- +$1.6kat 0.090Mavericks vs. Suns
- +$1.5kat 0.266Timberwolves vs. Clippers
- +$1.5kat 0.120Pelicans vs. Kings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.31217119 | $11.96 |
| 08-08 07:34 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.05 |
| 08-08 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 08-08 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-08 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 00:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 08-08 00:34 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.65 | $82.62 |
| 08-08 00:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.83 | $56.56 |
| 08-07 08:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 08-07 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.46 |
| 08-07 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.64 |
| 08-07 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.115 | $1.15 |
| 08-07 08:08 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.96 |
| 08-07 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.20 |
| 08-07 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |