horse2026
0x37de5810f247a0cba8dc95b626bb4e7b9b32f512
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $12.02M
- Markets traded
- 3,880
- Open portfolio
- $10.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,880
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.080Pacers vs. Cavaliers
- +$2.2kat 0.060Timberwolves vs. Lakers
- +$1.6kat 0.090Mavericks vs. Suns
- +$1.5kat 0.266Timberwolves vs. Clippers
- +$1.5kat 0.120Pelicans vs. Kings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 00:22 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 09-23 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.1194888467 | $11.95 |
| 09-23 00:31 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.27 | $22.07 |
| 09-20 23:34 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.7394609461 | $67.22 |
| 09-20 00:47 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.64 | $64.00 |
| 09-19 04:41 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.742264 | $37.11 |
| 09-19 03:29 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 09-19 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.46 | $18.40 |
| 09-19 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2792409675 | $27.59 |
| 09-18 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.32 | $8.28 |
| 09-16 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.9330009003 | $93.27 |
| 09-13 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.43 | $43.00 |
| 09-12 01:02 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.6575 | $13.15 |
| 09-10 03:04 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.68 | $6.80 |