elisabetmaral
0x37d552e5a18c6c95f3b0a78b7b2430a58a2031c3
- Realised P&L
- $118.67
- Volume
- $19.5k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $146.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? · No | 0.963 | 0.969 | $49.21 | +$0.28 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No | 0.984 | 0.976 | $48.80 | −$0.40 |
| Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.970 | 0.969 | $48.14 | −$0.05 |
| Solana Up or Down on August 8? · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$850.00 |
| Solana Up or Down on August 22? · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Reds vs. Angels · Reds | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$800.10 |
| Athletics vs. Twins · Twins | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$990.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$916.16at 0.440Giants vs. Pirates
- +$836.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down on August 15?
- +$597.15at 0.550Yankees vs. Rangers
- +$549.00at 0.500Solana Up or Down on July 30?
- +$402.00at 0.330Trail Blazers vs. Hawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-20 12:56 | Will France win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.976 | $19.89 |
| 08-21 11:43 | Solana Up or Down on August 22? | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 08-20 08:31 | Reds vs. Angels | BUY | 0.45 | $800.10 |
| 08-19 06:56 | Athletics vs. Twins | BUY | 0.56 | $990.08 |
| 08-14 08:22 | XRP Up or Down on August 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $16.00 |
| 08-07 07:46 | Solana Up or Down on August 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $820.00 |
| 08-06 11:03 | Yankees vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.55 | $729.85 |
| 08-04 11:23 | Giants vs. Pirates | BUY | 0.44 | $719.84 |
| 07-29 13:28 | Solana Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $549.00 |
| 04-16 10:25 | Atlanta Braves vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.4299999987 | $125.00 |
| 04-15 10:34 | Bitcoin above $82,000 on April 18? | BUY | 0.1799999987 | $100.00 |
| 04-14 06:42 | Hawks vs. Magic | BUY | 0.6499999999 | $350.00 |
| 04-10 12:42 | Sabres vs. Blue Jackets | BUY | 0.5699999986 | $138.00 |
| 04-09 07:11 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.4199999993 | $201.00 |
| 04-04 10:09 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.4499999995 | $210.00 |