Blackdfb
0x37d12767eb86bcbe2db931cc3762e5808b0997de
- Realised P&L
- $40.79
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $16.13
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) · Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.220 | 0.215 | $16.13 | −$0.38 |
| Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.257 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.58 |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-30? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.78 |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs B8 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A · NIP | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.88 |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? · No | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$340.86at 0.500Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$105.86at 0.500Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$99.60at 0.500Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 65% of the vote in the South Korea election?
- +$92.83at 0.500Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$51.74at 0.500Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 09:30 | Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.998 | $30.47 |
| 10-20 09:30 | Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.998 | $91.41 |
| 10-20 09:30 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.22 | $16.50 |
| 10-20 09:29 | Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.999 | $122.00 |
| 09-17 06:48 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.997 | $144.85 |
| 09-17 06:48 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs B8 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group A | BUY | 0.44 | $22.88 |
| 09-17 06:47 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.998 | $145.00 |
| 09-05 06:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 09-05 06:04 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.45 | $32.40 |
| 08-19 12:12 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.3 | $19.20 |
| 07-30 07:28 | Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.5 | $14.00 |
| 07-11 06:18 | Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.257 | $16.58 |
| 07-06 02:50 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.62 | $19.22 |
| 06-16 02:05 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.63 |
| 06-16 02:04 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.993 | $104.27 |