PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

reis001

0x37c73a56bbcc3e683286ddca1560a93424cf3e93

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$176.1k
Markets traded
797
Open portfolio
$18.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded797
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11? · Yes0.1700.110$6.47−$3.53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10? · Yes0.1400.055$5.89−$9.11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 11? · Yes0.0340.011$2.20−$4.29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? · Yes0.0890.036$2.05−$2.95
Will Alireza Firouzja finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 13? · Yes0.1900.090$1.18−$1.32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 11? · No0.0920.020$0.65−$2.35
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2160.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 26? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00−$2.06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 26? · No0.0210.000$0.00−$3.07
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$1.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Down0.4890.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 15? · No0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$1.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 05:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETBUY0.2399999923$5.00
10-09 04:57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETBUY0.0299999994$1.00
10-09 04:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETBUY0.1399999963$3.00
10-09 04:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 11?BUY0.091999999$3.00
10-09 04:54Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11?BUY0.1699999983$10.00
10-09 04:52Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10?BUY0.1399999989$15.00
10-09 04:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12?BUY0.0889999989$5.00
10-09 04:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12AM ETBUY0.4599999929$13.00
10-09 03:43Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11PM ETSELL0.971$58.38
10-09 03:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 11?BUY0.0338618914$6.49
10-09 03:15Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 PlayoffsSELL0.56$6.96
10-09 03:12Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11PM ETBUY0.48$28.86
10-09 03:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETBUY0.25$5.00
10-09 03:00Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 PlayoffsBUY0.39$4.84
10-08 20:18Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?SELL0.4$41.28