reis001
0x37c73a56bbcc3e683286ddca1560a93424cf3e93
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $176.1k
- Markets traded
- 797
- Open portfolio
- $18.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded797
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$330.59at 0.116Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
- +$243.97at 0.258Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
- +$107.39at 0.098Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
- +$77.58at 0.411U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
- +$68.83at 0.518Gemini 4.0 released by October 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 05:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 04:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 04:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 04:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.091999999 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 04:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 04:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $15.00 |
| 10-09 04:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.0889999989 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 04:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999929 | $13.00 |
| 10-09 03:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11PM ET | SELL | 0.971 | $58.38 |
| 10-09 03:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.0338618914 | $6.49 |
| 10-09 03:15 | Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs | SELL | 0.56 | $6.96 |
| 10-09 03:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11PM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $28.86 |
| 10-09 03:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 03:00 | Counter-Strike: Villainous vs Reign Above (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs | BUY | 0.39 | $4.84 |
| 10-08 20:18 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $41.28 |