0x37c06cb4bcc97acbcacd26d0323ba0048bbe13e6
0x37c06cb4bcc97acbcacd26d0323ba0048bbe13e6
- Realised P&L
- $194.59
- Volume
- $651.23
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $14.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar29.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Daniil Glinka vs Henry Bernet · Daniil Glinka | 0.560 | 0.540 | $14.21 | −$0.53 |
| Genoa 2: Lukas Neumayer vs Luka Mikrut · Lukas Neumayer | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.16 |
| Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Coleman Wong (+1.5) · Daniil Medvedev | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.74 |
| Buenos Aires 2: Francisco Comesana vs Joaquin Aguilar · Francisco Comesana | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.77 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals · Chicago White Sox | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.84 |
| San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez · Federico Agustin Gomez | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.20at 0.480Raiders vs. Saints
- +$42.79at 0.412Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de Zandschulp
- +$38.96at 0.500Missouri State vs. SMU: O/U 60.5
- +$31.25at 0.600Minnesota vs. Washington
- +$17.44at 0.500San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 02:56 | Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Daniil Glinka vs Henry Bernet | BUY | 0.5599999909 | $14.74 |
| 09-27 20:34 | Raiders vs. Saints | BUY | 0.4799999992 | $98.03 |
| 09-27 06:55 | Set Handicap: Daniil Medvedev (-1.5) vs Coleman Wong (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5799999858 | $14.74 |
| 09-27 04:18 | Minnesota vs. Washington | BUY | 0.6 | $46.87 |
| 09-27 04:16 | Missouri State vs. SMU: O/U 60.5 | SELL | 0.931 | $83.83 |
| 09-27 04:15 | Missouri State vs. SMU: O/U 60.5 | SELL | 0.957 | $0.33 |
| 09-25 15:55 | San Diego 2: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Federico Agustin Gomez | BUY | 0.6099999978 | $24.60 |
| 09-24 19:57 | Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de Zandschulp | BUY | 0.4 | $29.11 |
| 09-24 19:53 | Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de Zandschulp | BUY | 0.6099999826 | $9.84 |
| 09-24 16:42 | Tolentino: Samira De Stefano vs Oksana Selekhmeteva | BUY | 0.26 | $4.81 |
| 09-24 04:01 | Set Handicap: Miomir Kecmanovic (-1.5) vs Nikoloz Basilashvili (+1.5) | BUY | 0.6199999922 | $19.10 |
| 09-23 18:10 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.5299999772 | $8.84 |
| 09-23 07:14 | St. Tropez: Murphy Cassone vs Clement Tabur | BUY | 0.5699999784 | $13.96 |