PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pondereroffate

0x37b995b8d77eab3fa51d432dcd164556e001471b

Realised P&L
$-6.41
Volume
$73.9k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$342.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand? · Yes0.0920.057$342.57$209.27
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF? · Yes0.0500.049$0.37$0.01
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00$187.86
Kash Patel out by April 30? · Yes0.2650.000$0.00$53.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-14 07:25Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?BUY0.0911606715$11.40
08-14 07:22Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?BUY0.0919066667$137.86
08-14 07:20Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?BUY0.0887775306$11.97
08-14 07:17Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?BUY0.0531439161$15.56
08-13 09:49Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?BUY0.09791168$192.80
08-11 18:42Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + NZF?BUY0.05$0.38
08-07 23:57Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?BUY0.1005047619$105.53
07-08 06:30Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?BUY0.069958935$31.01
05-19 22:42Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY0.0797701149$6.94
05-19 22:41Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY0.08$0.64
05-19 22:40Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY0.0807295397$9.87
05-19 22:38Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY0.0697602636$5.51
05-19 22:37Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY0.0520995591$9.57
05-19 22:36Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY0.050250384$24.53
05-19 22:36Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY0.0265384615$2.59