PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

valeramorkon

0x37b498ef1e0ecb540d841603b7adcc1ad741dfda

Realised P&L
$56.60
Volume
$22.6k
Markets traded
165
Open portfolio
$139.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded165
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump nationalize elections? · No0.9300.925$65.67$0.35
Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · No0.9800.986$43.70+$0.24
Will Franco Colapinto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · No0.9800.757$18.93$5.58
Will Oliver Bearman finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · No0.9800.549$11.33$8.88
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Yes0.2220.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 12:10Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.98$18.96
09-10 12:09Will Franco Colapinto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.98$24.50
09-10 12:09Will Oliver Bearman finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.98$20.21
09-10 12:09Will Fernando Alonso finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.98$24.49
09-10 12:05Will Trump nationalize elections?BUY0.93$66.03
07-17 11:12Will the World Cup Final national anthem last less than 80 seconds?BUY0.97$25.22
07-17 11:10Will Nicolás Otamendi Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?BUY0.997$59.82
07-17 11:10Will Giovani Lo Celso Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?BUY0.996$19.92
07-17 11:10Will Álex Grimaldo Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?BUY0.996$19.92
07-17 11:10Will Marcos Senesi Miss a Penalty in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?BUY0.996$24.90
07-03 17:51Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.992$101.18
07-03 17:51Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?BUY0.996$18.92
06-13 10:32Will Sergio Perez win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?BUY0.99$47.51
06-13 10:31Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.993$119.12
05-11 21:20Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.981$159.90