Grinder123
0x37b46a9d45509eed664e302eb70b14ffed50d5e5
- Realised P&L
- $-60.4k
- Volume
- $3.48M
- Markets traded
- 643
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded643
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.3kat 0.024Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
- +$23.2kat 0.270Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?
- +$15.5kat 0.393Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$9.2kat 0.555T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)
- +$5.4kat 0.388International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 4)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 11:22 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.961 | $78.47 |
| 07-03 10:26 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $24.26 |
| 06-19 09:18 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.987 | $147.87 |
| 06-15 05:30 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.88 | $72.16 |
| 05-31 17:30 | Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.25 |
| 05-31 17:29 | Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.22 | $28.82 |
| 05-31 17:27 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? | SELL | 0.33 | $9.90 |
| 05-31 17:26 | Will the Republican Party win the FL-27 House seat? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 05-13 07:14 | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL | 0.012 | $11.50 |
| 05-01 03:23 | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL | 0.0162802181 | $20.90 |
| 04-30 13:38 | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL | 0.006 | $1.61 |
| 04-30 13:37 | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL | 0.006 | $2.10 |
| 04-30 13:34 | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL | 0.007 | $5.24 |
| 04-30 13:33 | Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | SELL | 0.0076672651 | $25.62 |
| 04-29 18:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.05 | $216.60 |