Grinder123
0x37b46a9d45509eed664e302eb70b14ffed50d5e5
- Realised P&L
- $-60.7k
- Volume
- $3.40M
- Markets traded
- 643
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded643
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.3kat 0.024Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?
- +$23.2kat 0.270Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in June?
- +$15.5kat 0.393Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$9.2kat 0.555T20 World Cup: Afghanistan vs New Zealand (Game 1)
- +$5.4kat 0.388International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 4)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 06:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.982256 | $49.11 |
| 10-14 06:48 | Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.983 | $49.15 |
| 10-10 19:04 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-07 House seat? | SELL | 0.9504577889 | $175.29 |
| 10-10 18:55 | Will the Democratic Party win the MS-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.999 | $293.22 |
| 10-10 18:52 | Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.0335664 | $5.87 |
| 10-10 18:50 | Will the Republican Party win the MD-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.0307627163 | $2.33 |
| 10-10 18:49 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.993 | $198.60 |
| 10-10 18:47 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.10 |
| 10-10 18:45 | Will the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.030425 | $1.52 |
| 10-08 14:29 | Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.984 | $19.68 |
| 07-23 11:22 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.961 | $78.47 |
| 07-03 10:26 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $24.26 |
| 06-19 09:18 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.987 | $147.87 |
| 06-15 05:30 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.88 | $72.16 |
| 05-31 17:30 | Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.25 |