0x37aea78a0df86092b4829653ee27d284885b8326
0x37aea78a0df86092b4829653ee27d284885b8326
- Realised P&L
- $-0.78
- Volume
- $202.05
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $1.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.540 | 0.535 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.175 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.22at 0.227Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $367.50 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.82at 0.268Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.10at 0.369Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during his rally with Darline Graham?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:18 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 19:07 | Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 01:54 | Will Meta (META) close above $750 on October 14? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 03:03 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 12:01 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:50 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:50 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:31 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $105 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:20 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $740 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 15:18 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:49 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:45 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:35 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |