alox2111c
0x37ae5f669552c784e195a4e54e53aae75bea8b40
- Realised P&L
- $548.45
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $108.46
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? · No | 0.997 | 0.999 | $108.46 | +$0.16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Up | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Up | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$148.91 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Down | 0.181 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.29 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Down | 0.249 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.76 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Up | 0.335 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$134.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET · Down | 0.243 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$248.50at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$235.54at 0.353Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
- +$160.00at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
- +$126.25at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
- +$110.00at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 07:40 | Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $108.30 |
| 08-30 11:27 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $34.57 |
| 07-19 12:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1814525 | $36.29 |
| 07-19 12:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $0.02 |
| 07-18 18:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2432 | $24.32 |
| 07-18 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.6152638266 | $82.32 |
| 07-18 16:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2487845 | $49.76 |
| 06-18 08:08 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.9975298205 | $149.00 |
| 05-14 05:32 | Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of May 11 above $240? | BUY | 0.999 | $148.85 |
| 04-16 11:44 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.934408298 | $138.73 |
| 03-31 04:54 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $139.42 |
| 03-29 08:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2467241756 | $11.10 |
| 03-29 07:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | SELL | 0.9797415 | $195.95 |
| 03-29 06:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3851565 | $74.87 |
| 03-29 06:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2953765 | $57.80 |