0x37a959fc9A23c8461F22eAD598Df677E2965BEA6-1791799376106
0x37a959fc9a23c8461f22ead598df677e2965bea6
- Realised P&L
- $83.14
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 300
- Open portfolio
- $84.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded300
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 13? · Down | 0.822 | 0.840 | $45.16 | +$0.96 |
| Solana Up or Down on October 13? · Down | 0.805 | 0.949 | $22.70 | +$3.43 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? · Up | 0.582 | 0.795 | $7.20 | +$1.93 |
| XRP Up or Down on October 13? · Down | 0.810 | 0.790 | $4.15 | −$0.11 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 13? · Up | 0.462 | 0.161 | $3.82 | −$7.19 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? · Down | 0.630 | 0.205 | $1.46 | −$3.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.43at 0.471Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
- +$29.32at 0.242Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$29.30at 0.121Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
- +$24.14at 0.305Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
- +$23.00at 0.182Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:24 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.8789999746 | $3.56 |
| 10-13 12:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999856 | $2.39 |
| 10-13 12:14 | XRP Up or Down - October 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999694 | $2.33 |
| 10-13 11:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.8499993929 | $1.05 |
| 10-13 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999144 | $2.80 |
| 10-13 10:07 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999455 | $1.42 |
| 10-13 10:07 | Solana Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.8779999705 | $3.04 |
| 10-13 09:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999215 | $2.47 |
| 10-13 09:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3599999873 | $1.13 |
| 10-13 09:37 | Ethereum Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.7619999189 | $1.56 |
| 10-13 09:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999971 | $2.18 |
| 10-13 09:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 10-13 09:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999694 | $2.33 |
| 10-13 09:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999363 | $3.59 |
| 10-13 09:22 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.75 |