msw008009
0x37a6ea78c1650c8c9de3ecc3e7a0d833665a105d
- Realised P&L
- $851.60
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $238.17
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$281.21at 0.156Will SC Austria Lustenau win on 2026-10-29?
- +$244.39at 0.514Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?
- +$243.99at 0.146Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-11-01?
- +$174.29at 0.371Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-10-31?
- +$157.15at 0.250Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 09:18 | Will Sumqayit FK win on 2026-11-02? | BUY | 0.5999999988 | $100.00 |
| 11-02 09:17 | Will Pakhtakor vs. Al Nassr Club end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2060934978 | $60.00 |
| 11-02 09:17 | Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $50.00 |
| 11-02 09:15 | Bratislava 2: Max Houkes vs Michael Vrbensky | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $50.00 |
| 11-02 01:23 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.71 | $86.06 |
| 11-01 12:46 | Will Rams Başakşehir FK win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.539999995 | $29.96 |
| 11-01 12:45 | Will Falkirk FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $40.00 |
| 11-01 12:44 | Will Cercle Brugge vs. Royal Antwerp FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2798251085 | $80.00 |
| 11-01 06:25 | Will PSIS Semarang win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.7369558808 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 06:25 | Will Perth Glory FC vs. Adelaide United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 06:24 | Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.3319858603 | $50.00 |
| 11-01 01:40 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.983 | $102.07 |
| 11-01 01:39 | Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.999 | $277.49 |
| 10-30 23:37 | Will Piratas Veracruz win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.769615192 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 23:36 | Will Llaneros FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $100.00 |