0x37a601e51d1f441badd1589842e000ca45b63f57
0x37a601e51d1f441badd1589842e000ca45b63f57
- Realised P&L
- $-12.66
- Volume
- $220.52
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $2.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No | 0.790 | 0.877 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.245 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.87at 0.320US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$3.38at 0.410Will Trump say "Who Are You" this week?
- +$2.86at 0.450Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$2.16at 0.520Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.550Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 21:49 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:59 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:30 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:50 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:14 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:05 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:29 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:42 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 14:39 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999933 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 05:55 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999515 | $2.29 |
| 09-17 18:52 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.86 |
| 09-17 04:54 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.46 |
| 09-16 20:42 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.539999967 | $2.29 |
| 09-16 10:19 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.6299998859 | $1.38 |