PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x37a322653a15ac69e8f321fff1e48e593431938f

Realised P&L
$36.80
Volume
$363.00
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$90.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration76.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.805$48.30+$18.30
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8400.850$15.30+$0.18
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.9350.955$6.68+$0.14
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2800.165$6.11$4.25
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.4740.696$5.57+$1.78
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.8800.955$4.77+$0.37
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.885$1.77+$0.37
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.105$1.05$0.55
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1700.150$0.90$0.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 07:13Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.928$4.64
06-17 05:00Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.935$6.54
06-07 15:32Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.661$5.29
06-05 12:17Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.474$3.79
04-28 01:03Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.93$9.30
04-28 01:03Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.503$3.02
04-12 06:42Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.28$10.36
04-12 06:42China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.85$5.10
04-12 06:42China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$1.60
04-10 06:22Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.84$19.32
04-10 06:21Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.17$3.06
03-28 20:13Iran nuclear test before 2027?BUY0.88$12.32
03-28 20:13Iran nuclear test before 2027?BUY0.12$1.08
03-26 20:02Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7$9.10
03-26 20:02Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?BUY0.31$3.41