PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Axe555

0x37a1730fed888de742800f861338f15ba44bdad2

Realised P&L
$-6.0k
Volume
$865.1k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$439.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.004$439.92$1.2k
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.6040.000$0.00$410.69
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany0.5900.000$0.00$59.00
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$0.60
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00$8.64
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Netherlands0.5000.000$0.00$50.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No0.4550.000$0.00$910.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.5880.000$0.00$999.00
Spread: United States (-1.5) · Bosnia and Herzegovina0.5200.000$0.00$52.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.4000.000$0.00$40.00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$29.90
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · No0.0380.000$0.00$190.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 03:01Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5$50.00
06-29 23:11Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceBUY0.59$59.00
06-29 22:59Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5SELL0.999$159.84
06-14 15:02US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.6$600.00
06-14 14:47US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.6$600.00
06-11 12:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.26$104.00
06-11 12:12Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.26$260.00
06-11 10:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.82$680.59
06-11 05:57US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.16$64.00
06-10 21:03Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.057$171.00
06-10 11:39Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.047$94.00
06-09 05:47US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?SELL0.68$153.43
06-08 15:54Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.31$155.00
06-08 13:58US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.83$929.63
06-08 06:13Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.33$165.00