hggh25345
0x379ac19d17a045325c99afc2e0c86d61b03b5122
- Realised P&L
- $-43.5k
- Volume
- $1.74M
- Markets traded
- 314
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded314
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) · SE Palmeiras | 0.480 | 1.000 | $2.1k | +$1.1k |
| Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.265 | $1.1k | −$1.1k |
| Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-02? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.001 | $2.04 | −$2.0k |
| Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Spread: Dallas Wings (-6.5) · Toronto Tempo | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.9k |
| Will CA Talleres win on 2026-04-19? · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.22 |
| 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-05-24? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 0.5 · Under | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| PortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics · Washington Mystics | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.1k |
| Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-05-16? · Yes | 0.425 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$688.00 |
| Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-05-21? · No | 0.532 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
| Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$900.00 |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.2kat 0.520Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
- +$8.6kat 0.470Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
- +$8.2kat 0.397Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
- +$8.2kat 0.490Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
- +$6.6kat 0.430Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:10 | Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 18:50 | Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.4k |
| 08-02 18:45 | Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.5299999999 | $666.00 |
| 08-02 18:44 | Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.53 | $1.6k |
| 08-02 18:32 | Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4799999998 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 13:56 | Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.4599999997 | $450.00 |
| 08-02 12:47 | St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4799999998 | $551.00 |
| 08-02 12:46 | St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4799999998 | $551.00 |
| 08-02 12:45 | St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4799999998 | $551.00 |
| 08-02 11:26 | Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Shanghai Shenhua FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $1.6k |
| 08-02 09:47 | Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4814324269 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 09:47 | Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4799999998 | $1000.00 |
| 08-02 00:03 | Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.51 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 00:01 | Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $1.2k |
| 08-01 23:49 | Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.5k |