wtfispolcue
0x3793da5eae8584faadb46f5c21787240af6f8f46
- Realised P&L
- $205.80
- Volume
- $43.7k
- Markets traded
- 539
- Open portfolio
- $344.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded539
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.423 | 0.185 | $227.16 | −$292.84 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.165 | $66.00 | −$130.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.315 | $51.77 | −$38.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.88at 0.525Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026?
- +$99.18at 0.508England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$78.41at 0.646Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
- +$72.80at 0.542Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$61.83at 0.397Mexico vs. England: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 12:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5499999985 | $90.39 |
| 10-15 12:34 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3356777487 | $120.00 |
| 10-11 19:58 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999997 | $200.00 |
| 10-10 19:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27868275 | $111.47 |
| 10-10 19:00 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999986 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 18:57 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-06 07:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5425111693 | $205.22 |
| 10-05 10:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6AM ET | SELL | 0.2804411894 | $31.78 |
| 10-05 10:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6AM ET | SELL | 0.6975656431 | $78.37 |
| 10-05 10:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.1499999991 | $17.00 |
| 10-05 10:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 10:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4995004995 | $50.00 |
| 09-25 10:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.539223791 | $150.00 |
| 09-23 08:41 | Will Solana reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9238628879 | $359.07 |
| 09-06 17:38 | Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | SELL | 0.9 | $283.48 |