Ari1811
0x3793060273a6fb2a3f55e2b93395329003a8b2b9
- Realised P&L
- $-99.66
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $431.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.235 | $102.17 | +$2.17 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.805 | $101.90 | +$1.90 |
| Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.885 | $53.31 | +$3.31 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.815 | $50.94 | +$0.94 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.145 | $42.65 | −$7.35 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.165 | $41.25 | −$8.75 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $39.29 | −$10.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.23at 0.958Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12?
- +$-101.89at 0.312Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 19:50 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.2999999997 | $97.97 |
| 10-12 14:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 12? | BUY | 0.9495664775 | $49.94 |
| 10-12 14:01 | Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.829999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 14:01 | Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 14:00 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.2 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 14:00 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.8 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 14:00 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.1699999995 | $50.00 |
| 10-12 13:59 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2299999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 13:56 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $100.00 |