PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

air01

0x37926c952685c62ba07296007aba3a9f35683a3a

Realised P&L
$-79.89
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$8.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6600.055$8.20$90.14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$4.03
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025? · Yes0.2090.000$0.00$41.91
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025? · Yes0.2990.000$0.00$43.42
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$4.32
Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$17.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-05 08:35Will Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?BUY0.18$17.28
01-29 09:47Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6$25.20
01-27 19:58Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.66$126.06
01-17 13:59Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?SELL0.0424619$4.25
12-19 16:55Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.036$4.32
12-19 16:00Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.21$21.00
12-19 14:51Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.0402516$4.03
12-19 12:47Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?BUY0.2993680079$36.61
12-15 05:46No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.977$97.70
12-12 12:48Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?BUY0.20953805$41.91
10-20 05:14Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?BUY0.95$95.00
10-16 11:26Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18BUY0.986$98.60
10-13 08:38Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?BUY0.973$72.29
01-19 08:04Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during victory rally? SELL0.41$41.00
01-19 08:04Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?SELL0.24$44.94