a2rajkotgame
0x37921451e1327aeeadf653a3d8b2e2fd5ccba87b
- Realised P&L
- $-270.75
- Volume
- $134.3k
- Markets traded
- 442
- Open portfolio
- $21.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded442
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.605 | $15.13 | +$4.13 |
| Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.100 | $3.13 | −$1.88 |
| Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.084 | $2.98 | −$8.02 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET · Down | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6AM ET · Up | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET · Up | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 1AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Up | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4? · Up | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - September 3, 6AM ET · Down | 0.619 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Play-In · HANJIN BRION | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.761Will Solana reach $160 in April?
- +$971.06at 0.749Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?
- +$535.60at 0.749Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$518.88at 0.748Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?
- +$511.46at 0.810Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:03 | Real Betis Balompié vs. Getafe CF: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 11:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 11:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.11 |
| 09-14 11:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 11:23 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $5.77 |
| 09-14 11:22 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.957 | $11.12 |
| 09-10 10:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $4.76 |
| 09-10 10:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 10:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 10:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | BUY | 0.899999928 | $5.00 |
| 09-04 10:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 10:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 10:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | SELL | 0.67 | $11.66 |
| 09-04 10:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5742574047 | $10.00 |
| 09-04 10:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $18.89 |