PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x378a4dd2290d164a10faae2918340d96969b001b

Realised P&L
$154.07
Volume
$16.5k
Markets traded
558
Open portfolio
$0.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded558
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1500.037$0.40$1.19
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.0800.007$0.19$1.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 06:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?SELL0.08$2.54
09-08 06:03US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.17$4.74
09-08 06:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1$3.54
09-08 06:02Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.68$1.32
09-08 06:02Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.57$2.33
09-05 11:16Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1904761905$2.00
09-05 10:01Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
09-04 22:25Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
09-04 22:24Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
09-04 14:21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.46$1.84
09-03 14:39US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.36$0.45
09-03 14:21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.3799999468$2.00
09-02 09:11Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.1$2.00
09-02 07:12Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.19$2.00
09-01 20:26Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?SELL0.104$0.41