0x378629104b3a15ccea309b474ca8714af188439a
0x378629104b3a15ccea309b474ca8714af188439a
- Realised P&L
- $-201.42
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $111.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.360 | $54.55 | +$4.55 |
| Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.760 | $25.68 | +$0.68 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? · No | 0.820 | 0.905 | $22.07 | +$2.07 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.460 | $9.58 | −$0.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.97at 0.585Fremantle Dockers vs. Brisbane Lions
- +$51.37at 0.577Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$37.19at 0.455Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?
- +$35.07at 0.369Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$33.03at 0.630Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 06:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 02:58 | Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 00:00 | Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999989 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 23:56 | Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $25.00 |
| 09-26 04:22 | Fremantle Dockers vs. Brisbane Lions | BUY | 0.5699999934 | $26.90 |
| 09-26 03:19 | Fremantle Dockers vs. Brisbane Lions | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 09-26 03:19 | Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | SELL | 0.752666208 | $87.51 |
| 09-24 06:31 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.2799999986 | $47.43 |
| 09-24 06:30 | Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? | SELL | 0.6390950521 | $39.27 |
| 09-18 09:41 | Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 02:28 | Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle Dockers | BUY | 0.4045626686 | $15.00 |
| 09-17 12:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 11:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $30.00 |
| 09-17 11:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.8899999886 | $50.00 |