PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x378629104b3a15ccea309b474ca8714af188439a

0x378629104b3a15ccea309b474ca8714af188439a

Realised P&L
$-201.42
Volume
$6.3k
Markets traded
78
Open portfolio
$111.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded78
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.3300.360$54.55+$4.55
Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria? · Yes0.7400.760$25.68+$0.68
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? · No0.8200.905$22.07+$2.07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2? · Yes0.4800.460$9.58−$0.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 12:48Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 2?BUY0.4799999846$10.00
10-01 06:02Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2?BUY0.8199999967$20.00
09-27 02:58Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?BUY0.3299999989$25.00
09-27 00:00Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of October 2026?BUY0.3299999989$25.00
09-26 23:56Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?BUY0.7399999953$25.00
09-26 04:22Fremantle Dockers vs. Brisbane LionsBUY0.5699999934$26.90
09-26 03:19Fremantle Dockers vs. Brisbane LionsBUY0.5699999967$50.00
09-26 03:19Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?SELL0.752666208$87.51
09-24 06:31Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?BUY0.2799999986$47.43
09-24 06:30Will Jess Wilson be the next Premier of Victoria?SELL0.6390950521$39.27
09-18 09:41Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle DockersBUY0.4099999984$20.00
09-18 02:28Sydney Swans vs. Fremantle DockersBUY0.4045626686$15.00
09-17 12:29Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?BUY0.5099999949$30.00
09-17 11:55Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?BUY0.7799999979$30.00
09-17 11:54Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?BUY0.8899999886$50.00