0x378471357462c686c8637c4d30c3da6eb86d61d2
0x378471357462c686c8637c4d30c3da6eb86d61d2
- Realised P&L
- $65.99
- Volume
- $593.04
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $120.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · No | 0.230 | 0.355 | $46.30 | +$16.30 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 10 and 12.5 million views on day 1? · No | 0.900 | 0.996 | $39.84 | +$3.84 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.473 | 0.690 | $29.20 | +$9.20 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31? · Yes | 0.415 | 0.038 | $3.06 | −$29.94 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.055 | $1.86 | −$10.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.38at 0.471Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1?
- +$17.07at 0.548Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
- +$5.12at 0.548Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 23:32 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.472727265 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 22:04 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.3548061557 | $11.99 |
| 10-10 18:37 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.3579349899 | $26.00 |
| 10-10 13:52 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $6.00 |
| 10-08 20:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 09:22 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 223 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.4544842119 | $33.00 |
| 10-08 08:32 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31? | BUY | 0.4229507753 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 08:13 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31? | BUY | 0.4138923234 | $30.00 |
| 10-08 08:09 | Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |