PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ddd8989

0x37760d5dc39b3b5d2118930b9380ca999d53edb3

Realised P&L
$-695.04
Volume
$37.6k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$214.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1900.065$214.50$412.50
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$200.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$39.05
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$50.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? · No0.1600.000$0.00$193.50
Iran leadership change by June 30? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00$139.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$49.47
Iran closes its airspace by May 15? · Yes0.0720.000$0.00$200.00
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? · No0.4540.000$0.00$200.00
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? · Yes0.6790.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 08:24US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?SELL0.11$37.89
06-12 19:36US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.1899999995$260.00
06-05 17:02Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.033877193$1.93
06-05 17:02Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.038$15.88
06-05 17:02Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0367435897$2.87
06-05 17:01Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.025$22.50
06-05 17:00Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.024$9.60
06-05 17:00Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.023$2.01
06-05 17:00Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0369719298$10.54
06-05 16:59Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.015$1.50
06-05 16:59Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0387676045$18.63
06-05 16:57Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.009$1.50
06-05 16:56Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.0347195013$1.56
06-05 16:51SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?BUY0.16$193.50
06-05 16:40US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.19$432.45