molodoyzombi
0x3761da500f4db6a1acc4da46df5666ab97dda786
- Realised P&L
- $11.13
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $177.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)97.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No | 0.975 | 0.972 | $56.38 | −$0.17 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IN-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.967 | 0.958 | $55.53 | −$0.55 |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.982 | 0.982 | $50.48 | −$0.03 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.980 | $14.76 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.35at 0.900Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
- +$1.68at 0.971Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?
- +$1.33at 0.974Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
- +$0.92at 0.958Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?
- +$0.90at 0.929Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-29 12:20 | Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.976 | $19.52 |
| 04-14 10:51 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? | BUY | 0.8999999617 | $21.17 |