15616146461
0x37540a8684dfa0540e306c77d274ddfc94ff55e1
- Realised P&L
- $-3.70
- Volume
- $50.07
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $7.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.820 | $1.09 | −$0.01 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.479 | 0.499 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.872 | 0.889 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.725 | $1.01 | −$0.13 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.835 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.775 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.547 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Up | 0.962 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Up | 0.833 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.50at 0.802Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
- +$0.50at 0.802Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
- +$0.31at 0.906Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
- +$0.12at 0.897Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$0.10at 0.906Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 10:07 | Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.8199999425 | $1.14 |
| 10-19 10:07 | Will Peter Fiabáne win the 2026 Žilina mayoral election? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.10 |
| 10-19 10:06 | Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? | BUY | 0.7799995632 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 10:03 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 10:02 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8399994288 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 10:01 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.871999993 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 09:58 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4789999248 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 07:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 05:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 05:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 05:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 00:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 00:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |