0x37534c14b03824feb190c02ce32adceb6e2654c7
0x37534c14b03824feb190c02ce32adceb6e2654c7
- Realised P&L
- $-11.98
- Volume
- $124.35
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $10.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.705 | $4.14 | −$0.03 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.580 | 0.525 | $2.63 | −$0.28 |
| Spread: Argentina (-3.5) · Argentina | 0.650 | 0.710 | $2.12 | +$0.18 |
| Will Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.325 | $1.94 | +$0.03 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.68 |
| Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.58at 0.436Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$2.50at 0.467Spread: Italy (-1.5)
- +$0.64at 0.894Will Senegal win on 2026-10-04?
- +$0.59at 0.936Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?
- +$0.15at 0.986Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 03:37 | Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.709999954 | $4.17 |
| 10-06 03:35 | Will Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.91 |
| 10-06 03:24 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 10-05 02:37 | Spread: Italy (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4499999893 | $2.11 |
| 10-05 02:34 | Spread: Argentina (-3.5) | BUY | 0.6499999665 | $1.94 |
| 10-05 02:22 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4199999606 | $1.92 |
| 10-05 02:21 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.589999927 | $2.91 |
| 10-04 15:11 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.4699999803 | $4.76 |
| 10-04 15:05 | Will Senegal win on 2026-10-04? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 13:44 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.4499999698 | $4.47 |
| 10-04 13:43 | Will Senegal win on 2026-10-04? | SELL | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-04 13:20 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.5399999753 | $5.68 |
| 10-04 00:10 | Will Senegal win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 10-04 00:08 | Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.962 | $9.04 |
| 10-03 23:17 | Will Argentina win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.975 | $9.16 |