0x374CBa403b526c1893234e69718956C51F3320ef-1769717456046
0x374cba403b526c1893234e69718956c51f3320ef
- Realised P&L
- $-40.60
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $45.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.70at 0.628Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
- +$6.14at 0.765Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?
- +$2.95at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$2.48at 0.473Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
- +$0.93at 0.641Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 18:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 18:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 17:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 17:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 17:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 17:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 17:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 17:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 02-05 15:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $0.98 |
| 02-05 15:46 | Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7652601193 | $20.02 |
| 02-05 07:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $0.97 |
| 02-05 07:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $0.98 |
| 02-04 04:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $0.97 |
| 02-03 08:32 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 02-03 07:44 | Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |