thor666
0x37499246c9d3695d623c1244b58e7ebb94124094
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $133.8k
- Markets traded
- 396
- Open portfolio
- $16.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded396
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.205 | $16.77 | −$15.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.53at 0.600Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be between $3.25B and $3.75B at market close on IPO day?
- +$5.78at 0.428Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
- +$0.80at 0.390Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?
- +$0.29at 0.740Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?
- +$0.04at 0.730Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $145 Week of July 27 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 22:50 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.1722647242 | $19.39 |
| 08-08 10:53 | Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | SELL | 0.1017348469 | $4.75 |
| 08-08 10:52 | Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $40.98 |
| 08-07 08:37 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.1973030303 | $13.02 |
| 08-07 08:37 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $22.93 |
| 08-07 08:32 | Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.91 |
| 08-07 08:32 | Will France win Junior Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.204 | $1.41 |
| 08-07 08:32 | Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | SELL | 0.65 | $1.26 |
| 08-07 08:32 | Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.59 |
| 08-07 08:32 | US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.14 |
| 08-07 08:32 | Will Luke Bronin be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? | BUY | 0.7299999494 | $1.01 |
| 08-07 08:32 | Will France win Junior Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.2049998498 | $1.01 |
| 08-07 08:32 | Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.6599997909 | $1.01 |
| 08-07 08:32 | Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | BUY | 0.3499998094 | $1.01 |
| 08-07 08:32 | US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998738 | $1.01 |