c34f
0x3743221bdf53b6de366b55867215a8b205c893c5
- Realised P&L
- $-5.96
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $2.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.690 | $1.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.155 | $0.42 | −$0.98 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.37 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? · No | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Knicks vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.34 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.74 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.42 |
| Magic vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.17 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.31 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.73at 0.276Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
- +$3.74at 0.397Pistons vs. Cavaliers
- +$2.32at 0.810Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$2.14at 0.580MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$1.77at 0.597Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 07:30 | Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999406 | $1.40 |
| 08-30 08:44 | Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699993172 | $1.06 |
| 08-23 11:36 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 14:13 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.74 |
| 06-30 20:04 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 13:03 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.7199999757 | $2.37 |
| 06-23 13:19 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.2699999301 | $2.51 |
| 06-21 19:04 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.3299999325 | $2.20 |
| 05-18 17:16 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k? | BUY | 0.5669998952 | $2.12 |
| 05-17 12:19 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.5399997975 | $1.12 |
| 05-15 11:55 | Pistons vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.3899999146 | $2.42 |
| 05-10 11:37 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999893 | $1.42 |
| 05-06 13:02 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5899999749 | $2.59 |
| 05-05 14:22 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.3549999267 | $2.42 |
| 03-11 11:42 | Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899998672 | $1.31 |