PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

c34f

0x3743221bdf53b6de366b55867215a8b205c893c5

Realised P&L
$-5.96
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$2.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.7100.690$1.94−$0.06
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5200.155$0.42−$0.98
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$2.37
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? · No0.3300.000$0.00−$2.20
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · No0.7200.000$0.00−$3.00
Knicks vs. Raptors · Raptors0.4400.000$0.00−$2.34
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? · No0.3200.000$0.00−$2.74
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.3550.000$0.00−$2.42
Magic vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.7000.000$0.00−$1.17
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$1.31
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$2.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 07:30Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5199999406$1.40
08-30 08:44Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7699993172$1.06
08-23 11:36Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027?BUY0.71$2.00
07-03 14:13Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.32$2.74
06-30 20:04Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.77$1.00
06-27 13:03Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.7199999757$2.37
06-23 13:19Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.2699999301$2.51
06-21 19:04Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.3299999325$2.20
05-18 17:16Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?BUY0.5669998952$2.12
05-17 12:19Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.5399997975$1.12
05-15 11:55Pistons vs. CavaliersBUY0.3899999146$2.42
05-10 11:37Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?BUY0.759999893$1.42
05-06 13:02Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5899999749$2.59
05-05 14:22Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.3549999267$2.42
03-11 11:42Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?BUY0.2899998672$1.31