PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nan-han

0x373c0507546e57f9e9ca88983f9736d430c5367e

Realised P&L
$-13.30
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$166.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch? · No0.9510.991$49.55+$2.00
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9501.000$30.00+$1.51
Tea FDV above $500M one day after launch · No0.9801.000$30.00+$0.60
Tread FDV above $500M one day after launch · No0.9600.991$29.72+$0.93
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9770.975$7.98$0.02
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9710.986$7.10+$0.10
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9790.985$7.04+$0.04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9670.894$5.55$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-28 15:36GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.9497633333$28.49
05-28 15:34Tea FDV above $500M one day after launchBUY0.98$29.40
05-28 15:33Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch?BUY0.951$47.55
05-28 15:33Tread FDV above $500M one day after launchBUY0.96$28.79
10-28 17:48Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.9472109205$180.06
10-28 17:46Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.976999999$8.00
10-28 17:46Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.978999887$7.00
10-28 17:46Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.970999968$7.00
10-28 17:46Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.9669999863$6.00
07-03 10:10Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025?BUY0.997$5.00
07-03 10:10Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025?BUY0.997$5.00
07-03 10:09Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?BUY0.997$5.00
07-03 10:09Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025?BUY0.996$5.00
07-03 10:09Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?BUY0.995$5.00
07-03 10:08Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?BUY0.9939999992$5.00