nan-han
0x373c0507546e57f9e9ca88983f9736d430c5367e
- Realised P&L
- $-13.30
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $166.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch? · No | 0.951 | 0.991 | $49.55 | +$2.00 |
| GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.950 | 1.000 | $30.00 | +$1.51 |
| Tea FDV above $500M one day after launch · No | 0.980 | 1.000 | $30.00 | +$0.60 |
| Tread FDV above $500M one day after launch · No | 0.960 | 0.991 | $29.72 | +$0.93 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.977 | 0.975 | $7.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.971 | 0.986 | $7.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.979 | 0.985 | $7.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.967 | 0.894 | $5.55 | −$0.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.37at 0.171Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$10.04at 0.947Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$9.83at 0.960Fed rate cut by September 18?
- +$2.86at 0.950Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$0.05at 0.990Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-28 15:36 | GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9497633333 | $28.49 |
| 05-28 15:34 | Tea FDV above $500M one day after launch | BUY | 0.98 | $29.40 |
| 05-28 15:33 | Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.951 | $47.55 |
| 05-28 15:33 | Tread FDV above $500M one day after launch | BUY | 0.96 | $28.79 |
| 10-28 17:48 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.9472109205 | $180.06 |
| 10-28 17:46 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.976999999 | $8.00 |
| 10-28 17:46 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.978999887 | $7.00 |
| 10-28 17:46 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.970999968 | $7.00 |
| 10-28 17:46 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9669999863 | $6.00 |
| 07-03 10:10 | Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 10:10 | Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 10:09 | Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 10:09 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 10:09 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 10:08 | Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.9939999992 | $5.00 |