mathisrobert
0x372ead07981304cb45bd1a2e758a878049ab7978
- Realised P&L
- $-69.89
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $35.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg? · Yes | 0.824 | 0.929 | $17.26 | +$1.96 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on October 1? · No | 0.869 | 0.911 | $10.99 | +$0.51 |
| Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split · Yes | 0.570 | 0.405 | $7.01 | −$2.85 |
| Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.08 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of September 7 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.07at 0.479Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
- +$7.45at 0.640Will Germany win on 2026-09-24?
- +$0.36at 0.989Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$0.14at 0.993Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.14at 0.990Will Anthropic have the top AI model on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 20:24 | Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split | BUY | 0.5699999873 | $9.86 |
| 01-31 14:05 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $9.96 |
| 01-30 14:54 | Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.57 |
| 01-30 13:18 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.91 |
| 01-30 12:49 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9979999463 | $9.11 |
| 01-30 12:46 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.19 |
| 12-30 09:13 | Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.68 |
| 12-29 23:35 | Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.29 |
| 12-29 21:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9929999595 | $20.35 |
| 12-29 19:47 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999911 | $19.17 |
| 10-30 22:35 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.96 |
| 10-30 18:11 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | BUY | 0.9959999525 | $18.62 |
| 09-29 10:35 | Will Moonshot have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.48 |
| 09-29 10:20 | Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.69 |
| 09-28 22:20 | Will Microsoft have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.15 |