PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x37286389196e4fe92e98DEdAED90f4A028FCCEFf-1768967224325

0x37286389196e4fe92e98dedaed90f4a028fcceff

Realised P&L
$344.89
Volume
$25.9k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$11.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? · Yes0.0270.015$11.26−$8.74
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8090.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$76.04
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$700.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22? · No0.0540.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$94.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.4070.000$0.00−$700.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-21 00:08Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?BUY0.0266530914$20.00
10-21 00:06US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?BUY0.0539475089$10.00
10-21 00:05Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.808999999$50.00
07-07 18:52Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.9399999906$4.00
07-07 18:50Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2699999975$70.00
07-06 22:43Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.72$54.81
07-06 22:42Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.014$57.34
07-06 22:42Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2699999945$24.00
07-05 03:50Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?BUY0.3099999948$40.00
07-05 03:49Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.3099999968$50.00
07-05 03:49Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?SELL0.2$45.63
07-05 03:48Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?SELL0.53$49.07
07-05 03:46Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.2099999967$47.91
07-05 03:46Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5399999985$50.00
07-05 03:44Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 5?BUY0.9169999868$1.60